Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.167916 0.179825 0.192280 0.206304 0.221682 0.238064 0.256875
2026-01-11 0.146202 0.163362 0.182330 0.204961 0.231370 0.261385 0.298326
2026-01-18 0.132406 0.152033 0.174521 0.202405 0.236345 0.276696 0.328876
2026-01-25 0.121528 0.142505 0.167220 0.198809 0.238582 0.287639 0.353748
2026-02-01 0.116393 0.139113 0.166572 0.202670 0.249587 0.309524 0.393596
2026-02-08 0.109470 0.132870 0.161741 0.200583 0.252419 0.320628 0.419648
2026-02-15 0.104320 0.128416 0.158717 0.200366 0.257345 0.334461 0.450184
2026-02-22 0.098323 0.122462 0.153302 0.196466 0.256780 0.340410 0.469593
2026-03-01 0.094152 0.118615 0.150360 0.195590 0.260134 0.351838 0.497731
2026-03-08 0.091038 0.115968 0.148810 0.196428 0.265805 0.366801 0.532338
2026-03-15 0.086901 0.111719 0.144826 0.193537 0.265764 0.373113 0.553651
2026-03-22 0.083636 0.108491 0.142059 0.192169 0.267782 0.382528 0.580619
2026-03-29 0.081888 0.107308 0.142126 0.194969 0.276328 0.402825 0.628038
2026-04-05 0.078985 0.104382 0.139577 0.193741 0.278568 0.413219 0.659424
2026-04-12 0.075954 0.101137 0.136405 0.191364 0.278780 0.420198 0.685237
2026-04-19 0.072853 0.097665 0.132740 0.188019 0.277186 0.423955 0.705354
2026-04-26 0.071916 0.097270 0.133557 0.191610 0.287024 0.447784 0.765728
2026-05-03 0.069531 0.094659 0.130955 0.189669 0.287531 0.455340 0.795166
2026-05-10 0.067751 0.092871 0.129504 0.189467 0.290911 0.468172 0.836467
2026-05-17 0.065198 0.089841 0.126044 0.185839 0.288173 0.469633 0.854328
2026-05-24 0.063490 0.088018 0.124362 0.185024 0.290248 0.480085 0.892296
2026-05-31 0.062261 0.086874 0.123677 0.185803 0.295149 0.496169 0.944327
2026-06-07 0.060275 0.084509 0.120995 0.183113 0.293654 0.499808 0.968832